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Old 01-13-2020
ChiefIllini1 ChiefIllini1 is offline
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The ILLINI Force Awakens: an OSU Preview



WHAT: Dual with Stupid Ohio State, one of a number of State Universities in Ohio
WHEN: Sunday, January 19 @ Noon (Central)
WHERE: Columbus
TV: Ha! There will be streaming on BTN+ and Flo

WHY WE HATE OSU: Because nobody refers to themselves as "The" anything. You earn the "The." The "The" isn't just handed out, and you sure as **** can't hand out the "The" to yourself. That's teh stupid.

Because their showers are more dangerous than Afghanistan.

Because little Tom Ryan is another one of those pocket purse yapping dogs. Have you ever seen a Chihuahua that wasn't (a) shaking, or (b) trying to bite your fingers off? I have not. Because an Ohio State University graduates some of the most brain-dead people on the planet. Their answer to every question or statement is, "So what's it to ya?" For example:

Normal person: "How's the weather outside?"
OSU person: "So what's it to ya?"
Normal person: "Just asking because you have a day-glow tan somehow."
OSU person: "So what's it to ya?"
Normal person: "Your mother smells like bourbon, and your father is a goat."
OSU person: "So what's it to ya?"

See what I mean? It's like arguing with a Joe Pesci gif.

THE LAST TIME OUT: The ILLINI had a super weekend during which they had a pinfall over expectations against PSU, followed by what was almost a "Referee Stops Contest" against the Hoosiers. The young guys (Cardani, the Brawlnagels, Wrobo-cop and Luffman) have made superb progress, while the veterans did their thing. The ILLINI beat Indiana 32-3. The Orange and Blue now have a season dual record of 4-2. They also won a trophy at the Midlands for third place.

The Buckeyes are 5-1 on the year. They will face Wisconsin on Friday, then go back home to wrestle the ILLINI on Sunday. ILLINOIS could sneak under the radar against them, as their Badger dual on Friday night will start at 9:00 pm, and it will be televised by the Big Ten Network. A lot of tanning will have to take place between now and Friday night.

They lost to Virginia Tech (15-21) but have beaten ASU (17-16), Cornell (23-9), Pitt (23-12), Stanford (29-6) and this past friday, Rutgers (22-13). We'll show the Rutgers scores because it is the most recent (OSU in bold, match started at 141):

Quote:
No. 5 Ohio State 22, No. 24 Rutgers 13
125 lbs | No. 14 Nicolas Aguilar (RU) def. Malik Heinselman (OSU) | MD, 14-1;
133 lbs | No. 11 Sammy Alvarez (RU) def. Jordan Decatur (OSU) | D, 6-1;
141 lbs | No. 1 Luke Pletcher (OSU) def. JoJo Aragona (RU) | MD, 12-4;
149 lbs | No. 6 Sammy Sasso (OSU) def. Gerard Angelo (RU) | MD, 16-7;
157 lbs | Michael Van Brill (RU) def. Elijah Cleary (OSU) | D, 5-3;
165 lbs | No. 13 Ethan Smith (OSU) def. Brett Donner (RU) | MD, 13-4;
174 lbs | No. 9 Kaleb Romero (OSU) def. No. 19 Joe Grello (RU) | D, 9-2;
184 lbs | Billy Janzer (RU) def. Rocky Jordan (OSU) | D, 5-4;
197 lbs | No. 1 Kollin Moore (OSU) def. No. 17 Jordan Pagano (RU) | MD, 20-9;
285 lbs | Gary Traub (OSU) def. Matthew Correnti (RU) | SV-2, 4-2;
THE LINEUPS: Based only on paper, there will be a lot of close matches in this one. This is true even though wrestlestat.com is predicting a 25-9 win for the evil empire. Many of the matchups will have similarly ranked fellows looking for any kind of seeding advantage in the post season, such as the first contest right off the bat:

125. Justin Cardani vs. Malik Heinselman. These guys are almost mirror images of each other. Cardani is 9-5 versus Heinselman's 9-9 record. Cardani has the advantage over common opponents 6-3 versus Heinselman's 4-5, but that is in part due to the fact that the ILLINI refuses to lose (3x wins) to Indiana's Liam Cronin. Heinselman has split with the Hoosier. They both split with NIU's Bryce West, with both first losses coming by way of pinfall. Both won their second match with the Huskie relatively easily. They both lost very, very close matches to #12 Drew Hildebrandt from Central Michigan.

Wrestlestat.com favors Heinselman in this one, probably because they had a head-to-head match up last year that the Buckeye pulled out with an 8-6 score. I don't see it that way. Here's why: That first match between the two came very early in the season last year. Since then, Cardani has made remarkable progress. I don't think the Buckeye has kept up with him. Moreover the OSU wrestler will have his hands full against Wisconsin on Friday and have to make weight two days during the weekend. (Yes, I know he's small, but he still probably cuts something). Then, there's Heinselman's last two outings, both losses, including his last one, a 1-14 major decision versus Rutgers' #25 kid. Finally, Cardani has been hitting the weight room. He has packed on some muscle, which he flexes during hype videos. (Hitting the iron before a hype video is cheating, Justin! Haha!).

133. Travis Piotrowski vs. Jordan Decatur. The Great Indestructible Pio has to be favored here. Heck, even wrestlestat.com has him winning 5-4. Decatur is a dreary town in central ILLINOIS with the decidedly unheroic nickname "The Soy Bean Capital of the World!" But Pio won't have to wrestle an entire city of 71,290 good people. He just has to beat the true freshman who recently had his redshirt pulled. Ask Tom Ryan why he pulled the kid's redshirt, and he'll just say, "So what's it to ya?"

Decatur has a nice 9-2 record, but that is a bit deceiving. His two losses were by seven and five points to the #7 and #22 rated wrestlers. His best win has been against the #62 kid. The ILLINI was a beat slow in his match against the Hoosier on Sunday, but he shakes that off to win comfortably here by three to five points. This match might be the reason why Hef decides to start the dual at 125. Decatur is a mini-hulk, who'll be cutting some pounds, as well as having to face Seth Gross on Friday, while making weight 2x over the weekend.

To be continued ...
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  #2  
Old 01-13-2020
ChiefIllini1 ChiefIllini1 is offline
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141. Dylan Duncan vs. Luke Pletcher. Dylan has just started Big Ten dual season, and he's already wrestled the #4, #3, #12, #28 (x2), #8 and #16 wrestlers according to wrestlestat. He has a nice 11-5 record against a very strong strength of schedule. His opponent is undefeated at 16-0, and some people are saying this is the new bonus point Pletcher.

In fact, earlier this year, the Buckeye beat Duncan by major at the MSU Open. Prior to that, Pletcher had two one-point wins over Duncan in 2019 and 2018. Sandwiched around his match with the ILLINI, Pletcher will have to prepare for matches against #8 Tristan Moran of Wisconsin and two highly-ranked 141lbers from Minnesota and Iowa. He might overlook the ILLINI. Wrestlestat is predicting a 9-4 win for Pletcher, which is kind of splitting the baby from this year's major decision and the one-point wins in the past. The Buckeye is surely the favorite, but it would be nice to see Dylan Duncan sneak out a one-point victory.

149. Mousa Jodeh or Mike Carr vs. Sammy Sasso. Wrestlestat.com is predicting a pinfall for their #3 Sasso over Jodeh. Thing is, Jodeh has given up five falls in eighty matches, and he's been battling harder and with more skill lately. Sasso has a 56.25% bonus rate. I'm thinking Jodeh does his job and keeps this to a major decision. It might even be a regular decision if Mousa can scare him sufficiently with some Greco-hinting ties.

Will Carr come back this year? Would he come back against Sasso? Carr is 5-0 against common opponents, while Sasso is 4-1. You would expect the coaching staff to bring Carr back only if his wind is behind his sails. If he does make it back, I'd think it would be more likely the staff send him to the Greyhound Open like they did his freshman year, where he picked up a 4-0 record against D1 opponents.

157. Eric Barone vs. Elijah Cleary. This could be a pivotal match in the dual. Barone is on a two-match win streak. Cleary is on a two-match losing streak. That comes after he won the Cleveland State Open. The caveat there is that the best wrestler he faced at the open was ranked #99. The computer program calls this a 6-4 win for the Buckeye, but I say, "Not so fast!" This will be a big match when it comes to seedings, and Barone has his confidence back.

The plot twist could be Ke-Shawn Hayes, entering stage right. He's only wrestled six matches this year, going 3-3 at the MSU Open. Two of those losses were injury defaults. Could he be back this year to challenge for the spot? Those matches at the MSU Open were wrestled at 149. He is 3-1 against Barone in head-to-head match ups. The last three have been nail-biters.

To be continued ...
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  #3  
Old 01-13-2020
dadudaman4 dadudaman4 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefIllini1 View Post

141. Dylan Duncan vs. Luke Pletcher. Dylan has just started Big Ten dual season, and he's already wrestled the #4, #3, #12, #28 (x2), #8 and #16 wrestlers according to wrestlestat. He has a nice 11-5 record against a very strong strength of schedule. His opponent is undefeated at 16-0, and some people are saying this is the new bonus point Pletcher.

In fact, earlier this year, the Buckeye beat Duncan by major at the MSU Open. Prior to that, Pletcher had two one-point wins over Duncan in 2019 and 2018. Sandwiched around his match with the ILLINI, Pletcher will have to prepare for matches against #8 Tristan Moran of Wisconsin and two highly-ranked 141lbers from Minnesota and Iowa. He might overlook the ILLINI. Wrestlestat is predicting a 9-4 win for Pletcher, which is kind of splitting the baby from this year's major decision and the one-point wins in the past. The Buckeye is surely the favorite, but it would be nice to see Dylan Duncan sneak out a one-point victory.

149. Mousa Jodeh or Mike Carr vs. Sammy Sasso. Wrestlestat.com is predicting a pinfall for their #3 Sasso over Jodeh. Thing is, Jodeh has given up five falls in eighty matches, and he's been battling harder and with more skill lately. Sasso has a 56.25% bonus rate. I'm thinking Jodeh does his job and keeps this to a major decision. It might even be a regular decision if Mousa can scare him sufficiently with some Greco-hinting ties.

Will Carr come back this year? Would he come back against Sasso? Carr is 5-0 against common opponents, while Sasso is 4-1. You would expect the coaching staff to bring Carr back only if his wind is behind his sails. If he does make it back, I'd think it would be more likely the staff send him to the Greyhound Open like they did his freshman year, where he picked up a 4-0 record against D1 opponents.

157. Eric Barone vs. Elijah Cleary. This could be a pivotal match in the dual. Barone is on a two-match win streak. Cleary is on a two-match losing streak. That comes after he won the Cleveland State Open. The caveat there is that the best wrestler he faced at the open was ranked #99. The computer program calls this a 6-4 win for the Buckeye, but I say, "Not so fast!" This will be a big match when it comes to seedings, and Barone has his confidence back.

The plot twist could be Ke-Shawn Hayes, entering stage right. He's only wrestled six matches this year, going 3-3 at the MSU Open. Two of those losses were injury defaults. Could he be back this year to challenge for the spot? Those matches at the MSU Open were wrestled at 149. He is 3-1 against Barone in head-to-head match ups. The last three have been nail-biters.

To be continued ...
Here's how I see it so far, although I don't know much about the OSU 285er:

Illini favored at 125, 133 and 184. OSU favored at 141, 149, 174 and 197. There are bonus point opportunites for OSU at 141, 149 and 197. There are toss ups at 157, 165 and 285 that will likely decide the meet.
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Old 01-14-2020
ChiefIllini1 ChiefIllini1 is offline
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165. Danny Braunagel vs. Ethan Smith. This is going to be your Main Event. Both these guys will be fighting for seeding and possibly a podium finish at the NCAA tournament. Brawny2 has the better record so far this year (15-4) compared to Smith's (12-6; 10-6 against D1 opponents). Smith has the better record against common opponents, and that's due to the fact that he beat David McFadden this year, while Brawlnagel lost a close one.

The Wrestlestat.com program is favoring the ILLINI by one point, and he's on a three-match winning streak since his placement at the Midlands. Smith won his last one by major over Rutgers, but dropped the match before that to ASU's Josh Shields (2-6). This will be another great test for the ILLINI, as Smith won two matches at the Big Dance last year at 174.

174. Joseph "Guns" Gunther vs. Kaleb Romero. This is your Co-Main Event. To make this a competitive dual or to pull off the upset, the ILLINI probably need victories at 165 and this weight. Although the computer program picks a one-point Romero win, in last year's dual down at 165, it was Guns with the beautiful duckunder in sudden victory that won the match. It was one of my favorite takedowns of the year, as it was beautiful and final.

The Buckeye is 11-2 on the year, 10-2 against D1 opponents. He has wins this year over Anthony Valencia, Joseph Grello, Jacob Covaciu, Brandon Womack and a 4-2 title match win over D.J. "The Future" Shannon at the MSU Open. His two losses are by one point each to Mike Labriola and Devin Skatzka. Like the Brawny2/Smith match, this could be a future Round of 12 party. Guns is 11-3 with wins over Covaciu (x2), Connor Flynn and Ben Harvey. The ILLINI is 9-7 against common opponents, while the Buckeye is 6-7. Both are coming off of wins against ranked wrestlers.

184. Zac Braunagel vs. Rocky Jordan or Gavin Hoffman. For some reason, wrestlestat has Brawny1 with a #31 ranking and Rocky Jordan at #27. They predict a one-point win for the Buckeye. I'm not buying what they're selling! Jordan does have a 22-4 record (15-4 against D1 wrestlers), but Brawny1 is at 13-5, and he has wrestled by far a tougher schedule. For example, Jordan has lost matches to #39 Billy Janzer of Rutgers, #40 Jacob Covaciu and #16 Anthony Mantanona of Oklahoma, while his best win is by one point over the #44 wrestler.

Moreover, Jordan started the year out at 174. That's how he lost to Covaciu and Mantanona. I think Ryan might throw out Gavin Hoffman for this dual. He has less shine on wrestlestat with a much worse 10-7 record, but his losses are explainable: Valencia, Lujan, Darmstadt, Carlson, Bonnacorsi, for example. I think Hoffman, at least right now, is the better wrestler for the Buckeyes. But what do I know? In either event, I'm picking a Brawlnagel here!

197. Matt Wroblewski vs. Kollin Moore. Starting at the Midlands, I have loved Wrobo-cop's trajectory. He is wrestling with more confidence and attacking more offensively. He put on a show against Rasheed Shakur. However, this is the #1 guy wrestling for the Bucks, and he has already earned a major decision over our ILLINI this year (16-5). If Wrobo-cop can keep this to a decision or a major decision, that would be a big win for the ILLINI.

285. Luke Luffman vs. Gary Traub. With the loss of Chase Singletary for the season, the spot is all Traub's. In their dual with Rutger's, he sealed the win with a victory over a tough Matt Correnti. Wrestlestat.com sees this as a 6-4 win for the ILLINI. Luffman has an 11-4 record, while the Buckeye is 10-2 against D1 opposition. This is Traub's fourth year wrestling for the Buckeyes and first as a regular starter, with his best win in 83 career matches being the recent sudden victory 4-2 contest with the #44 Rutgers wrestler Correnti.

In the first half of his first season, Luffman has already beaten the #31 and #41 wrestlers. Traub will probably win any weightlifting matches between the two, but the ILLINI can focus on speed, agility and technique.


CONCLUSION: Fasten your seatbelts! It's possible, perhaps even reasonable, for the ILLINI to win matches at 125, 133, 157, 165, 174, 184 and 285. Now, it is not reasonable to expect the ILLINI to win all of those at the same dual, but if the ILLINI can sneak out of there with five or even six wins, then you have a great match. OSU will likely get bonus in a match or two, so that has to be taken into account.

The Buckeyes will have home gym advantage, but they have Wisconsin on Friday, which will cause some of their folks to make weight two times over the weekend. Gary Traub, for example, will probably be preparing for Trent Hilger under the lights of the Big Ten Network. Jordan Decatur will occupy his mind with Seth Gross and will have to make weight twice, Smith will be thinking of Wick. ILLINOIS has one dual that weekend to prepare for, and this is it.

WARILLINI!!!
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Old 4 Weeks Ago
ChiefIllini1 ChiefIllini1 is offline
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Ohio State is wrestling Wisconsin tonight on BTN. They have released their probable lineups versus the Badgers and the ILLINI. Of interest to us, they have both Jordan Decatur and Dylan Koontz listed at 133, only Mousa Jodeh for the Orange and Blue at 149, Elijah Cleary and Quinn Kinner at 157, and only Rocky Jordan at 184.

Apparently, the Gavin Hoffman era is already over.

If Koontz and Kinner and Rocky Jordan wrestle for the Buckeyes, that would make it easier for the ILLINI. If you're heading to Columbus for the dual, doors open at noon local time.

WARILLINI!!!
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Old 4 Weeks Ago
ChiefIllini1 ChiefIllini1 is offline
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Quote:
No. 4 Ohio State 24, No. 8 Wisconsin 13

125 lbs | Eric Barnett (UW) def. Malik Heinselman (OSU) | D, 8-6; Team Score: 0-3
133 lbs | No. 1 Seth Gross (UW) def. No. 20 Jordan Decatur (OSU) | MD, 15-6; TS: 0-7
141 lbs | No. 1 Luke Pletcher (OSU) def. No. 4 Tristan Moran (UW) | MD, 11-3; TS: 4-7
149 lbs | No. 6 Sammy Sasso (OSU) def. No. 13 Cole Martin (UW) | MD, 12-3; TS: 8-7
157 lbs | Elijah Cleary (OSU) def. Drew Scharenbrock (UW) | D, 7-3; TS: 11-7
165 lbs | No. 4 Evan Wick (UW) def. No. 12 Ethan Smith (OSU) | D, 7-4; TS: 11-10
174 lbs | No. 8 Kaleb Romero (OSU) def. Jared Krattiger (UW) | D, 7-3; TS: 14-10
184 lbs | Rocky Jordan (OSU) def. Tyler Dow (UW) | TF, 20-2; TS: 19-10
197 lbs | No. 1 Kollin Moore (OSU) def. Peter Christensen (UW) | TF, 21-3; TS: 24-10
285 lbs | No. 5 Trent Hillgar (UW) def. Gary Traub (OSU) | D, 6-0; TS: 24-13
Nothing happened here that was really unexpected. Johnny Sebastian didn't wrestle at 184 for the Badgers is about it, but this is still the cold and flu season. Some folks at themat.com were picking Wisconsin to win this one, but, man, they are swiss cheese, with too many holes. Being down Sebastian didn't help, but that would've still meant a 19-16 Buckeye win.

Heinselman and Decatur now have to make it back to Columbus and then make weight again Sunday morning. Pletcher majored Moran, which was slightly unexpected, except that guys like Mike Carr and Pletcher figured him out: Finish your takedowns quickly and don't get funky.

Cole Martin isn't really a hole for Wisconsin, but he was matched up with a higher-ranked and better wrestler. From 157 to 197, the Badgers are teh suck except for Sebastian and Wick, and Sebastian wasn't there.

Hilger had a slightly easier time with Traub (6-0) than he did Luffman (4-0). Have to give some credit to the Ohio State Buckeye who wrote this headline:

Quote:
BUCKEYES DEPART _ISCONSIN WITH THE W IN-HAND
WARILLINI!!!
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Old 4 Weeks Ago
dadudaman4 dadudaman4 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiefIllini1 View Post



Nothing happened here that was really unexpected. Johnny Sebastian didn't wrestle at 184 for the Badgers is about it, but this is still the cold and flu season. Some folks at themat.com were picking Wisconsin to win this one, but, man, they are swiss cheese, with too many holes. Being down Sebastian didn't help, but that would've still meant a 19-16 Buckeye win.

Heinselman and Decatur now have to make it back to Columbus and then make weight again Sunday morning. Pletcher majored Moran, which was slightly unexpected, except that guys like Mike Carr and Pletcher figured him out: Finish your takedowns quickly and don't get funky.

Cole Martin isn't really a hole for Wisconsin, but he was matched up with a higher-ranked and better wrestler. From 157 to 197, the Badgers are teh suck except for Sebastian and Wick, and Sebastian wasn't there.

Hilger had a slightly easier time with Traub (6-0) than he did Luffman (4-0). Have to give some credit to the Ohio State Buckeye who wrote this headline:



WARILLINI!!!
Well, Barone does it again. Not one attempt at a takedown. Awful, awful coaching for the past 5 years.
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Old 4 Weeks Ago
Pokey32 Pokey32 is offline
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Have watched braunagle boys wrestle all thru highschool. Still think they are best two on team but they should consider transferring for a good future. Didn't think illlini coaching and atmosphere could suck the energy out of them but I see it slowly happening. What a shame. And Gunther brings that explosive iowa STALL to the room! Didn't the brands brothers at least teach u how to fit a headgear?! Hard to have energy as athlete when u look over at a coach that is one burger away from a heart explosion. So sad. ...Gomez, Werner, cassiopi, and the others, u mad the right decision!
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Old 4 Weeks Ago
jay31 jay31 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pokey32 View Post
Have watched braunagle boys wrestle all thru highschool. Still think they are best two on team but they should consider transferring for a good future. Didn't think illlini coaching and atmosphere could suck the energy out of them but I see it slowly happening. What a shame. And Gunther brings that explosive iowa STALL to the room! Didn't the brands brothers at least teach u how to fit a headgear?! Hard to have energy as athlete when u look over at a coach that is one burger away from a heart explosion. So sad. ...Gomez, Werner, cassiopi, and the others, u mad the right decision!
Go back under your bridge troll...

Disappointing not to win more of the close ones. JC avenges loss last year unattached at Lindenwood Open to Heinselman. Pio gave up less takedowns to Decatur than Gross did the other day. Duncan improved from last match against Pletcher. Carr vs Sasso wouldve been a great match. Barone pulled off a 2:00 rideout to force OT and shouldve won if not for bogus stall call that eventually cost a point.

After that close 165 match when the dual was out of reach it did seem like the fire dimmed but losing to the #3 team in the country this way still has the Illini as a top ten team. Although they have a few tests with Purdue, Michigan, and NW they can definitely win out. I believe Heffernan’s burger intake whatever it may be has not changed his appearance since he coached Delgado and Imar to multiple championships.

Last edited by jay31; 4 Weeks Ago at 03:49 PM.
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  #10  
Old 4 Weeks Ago
Pokey32 Pokey32 is offline
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I want Illinois to win as much as the next guy, but can you really tell me that these boys go out with high energy and compete? So tell us, where does Illinois rank on energy, crowd excitement, facilities within the big ten? Our broadcast even look like a jr high production. Let's be honest friend, should we not expect and want more?
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