Illinois Matmen Forums Illinois Matmen Forums

Go Back   Illinois Matmen Forums > Statewide > IESA

Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 3 Weeks Ago
Truth is Out There's Avatar
Truth is Out There Truth is Out There is offline
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 2,488
Originally Posted by Cfc46 View Post
Notice the fear mongers have no answer to this,real facts and real numbers take away their argument.
Bad news is the jam is out of the jar.

This is the new normal. Expect more of the same as long as there's a Republican in power.

When does it go back to normal? When will the folks in charge be appeased that the threat is over?

They won't.

If/when they develop a vaccine, I won't be getting it.

Buckle up buttercups.
"That which can be destroyed by the truth, should be." -- P.C. Hodgell

"No one is more hated than he who speaks the truth." -- Plato

“Being honest may not get you a lot of friends but it’ll always get you the right ones.” -- John Lennon
Reply With Quote
Old 3 Weeks Ago
Crystal Clearly Crystal Clearly is offline
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Outside your house, right now
Posts: 808
Originally Posted by Cru View Post
OK, so let's talk hard numbers. The CDCs preliminary estimates for the 2019-2020 US flu season are 16K deaths with 280,000 hospitalizations and 19M infections. Their website also states an estimated 177,000 hospitalizations for RSV with 14K deaths annually. WebMD states as many as 56K die annually from flu-like symptoms. Another 18,000 people die annually from staph infections, 20,000 from MRSA...ALL of these are highly put that into perspective with Coronavirus.

So again I ask...are we all supposed to just huddle up in our homes and never venture out again for fear of catching a virus? Whether we want to admit it or not, we risk catching something every frigging day that will kill us.

THAT'S why I say this is getting blown out of proportion.
Since you want to be a numbers guy, here's a few for you to chew on:

The mortality rate for the seasonal flu virus is below 0.1%. (take note of the decimal point BEFORE the 1)

The mortality rate for COVID-19 is as "low" as 2% and could be as high as 4%. (no decimal before)

That is 20 to 40 times worse than seasonal flu.

I'm letting that sink in through some of the thick skulls out there.......

If the mortality rate was "only" 1% it would still be 10 times worse than the flu.

From WHO:

From Newsweek:

We'll use your numbers -

With "The CDCs preliminary estimates for the 2019-2020 US flu season are 16K deaths with 280,000 hospitalizations and 19M infections." That means, even at 1% mortality, there could be +/- 190,000 deaths from this virus.


I would hope that number would bring pause to some of the deniers.

With a mortality rate that high, the only way to prevent astronomical numbers of deaths is to minimize the number of infections.
I certainly hope that with precautions, vigilance and common sense that number would become much lower, but with the deniers out there (including Trump) who keep spouting false information, it doesn't look promising.

The stance that this pandemic is brought on and sensationalized by those who want to bring down Trump, or that they want more deaths to hurt Trump in the election, is the worst kind of stupidity. It comes from some news organizations who should be reporting the absolute truth in a case like this.
This transcends political beliefs.
At least it should...

But I am not surprised by that stance by some.

Last edited by Crystal Clearly; 3 Weeks Ago at 07:24 PM.
Reply With Quote
Old 3 Weeks Ago
xEx76 xEx76 is offline
IESA Referee
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 37
Currently the official number from the CDC is a death rate of 3.4%. Influenza A is 0.1%. That's 34 times the death rate of the flu. This number will undoubtedly change and most likely go down. This is because there is a huge number of "ghost cases" out there with people that never seek care secondary to mild, or "no" symptoms. Most sources say it will be 2.3%-3% once all is said and done. The current flu season is still ongoing and the CDC estimates that between 10,000 and 35,000 people have died in the US from the flu since October. It will probably come in at about 22,000 deaths. If you extrapolate that to COVID-19 that equals 575,000-750,000 deaths from COVID-19 (2.35-3% death rate x flu deaths). To give you perspective about 58,000 service men and women died in the Vietnam war (official dept of defense number).

The vast majority of the deaths will occur in those over the age of 60 (about 85%). Probably more than 70% of our population will get this eventually. Know what you are talking about before you state "facts".
Reply With Quote
Old 3 Weeks Ago
55663 55663 is offline
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 497
It's weird that the infectious disease specialists in the thread are so stupid.

Sorry that measures have been taken to avoid becoming Italy.
Reply With Quote
Sponsored Links

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:17 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.